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The Stock Trading Advisor’s “From the Trading Turret”

 

From: R. A. Christy

Editor, ‘From the Trading Turret’

President/CEO, Christy Investment Group

http://www.christyinvestments.com

 

Date: November 25, 2007

 

Current Field Position: DEFENSE

 

Bullish Percent Indicators:

 

BP NYSE                                Os @ 35%

BP OTC                                  Xs @ 30%

BP Option                              Os @ 33%

 

Favored Sectors: Oil, Oil Service, Chemicals, Internet, Telephone, Software, Aerospace, Gas Utilities, Electric Utilities, Precious Metals

 

This week’s diatribe …

 

This past week was something that I wasn’t expecting. We took it on the chin as stocks fell across the board. This coming week will tell us a not more about where this thing is headed.  

 

Black Friday

 

Black Friday is quite a name for the day after Thanksgiving.

 

One camp of economists thinks that the consumer is flush with cash that this holiday season will be rosy. If so, the market will snap back nicely.

 

The other camp sees things as pretty dire with the consumer being tapped out. If the cash registers don’t ring over the weekend, this won’t bode well for the retail sector and Wall Street may just capitulate by tossing in the towel.

 

One thing is certain – there’s no shortage of opinions and there’s also no gray area. As always, the numbers will tell the story.

 

Current Market

 

We’re currently on defense and trying to hold the ship steady in some pretty turbulent waters. So far, the stops are holding, but another down day or so will change the tune dramatically. As of Friday’s close, about 1/3 of our stops are less than a point from going off.

 

This month has been an ugly one and I’ll be glad it will soon be over. I hope we end the year on a nice flourish, but I’m beginning to doubt that hypothesis.

 

The Dollar

 

Dollar woes continue and this thing is really getting ugly. I think we’re seeing the last vestiges of the dollar being the world’s reserve currency. I’ve been thinking about this for some time and I’m convinced that this is going to happen sooner than later.

 

The last time we had a change in reserve currency was when the world shifted away from the British Pound Sterling and into US dollars. During that time, the pound lost about 80% of its value.

 

For some time, I’ve been lamenting about China and its overall impact on the world’s economy. While I’ve mostly talked about the upside opportunities, there is also a dark side. I’ve also talked about why I think all bets are off after the 2008 Olympics.

 

The starting point of all this began back in 2005 when China decided to decouple the yuan from the dollar. Since then, the yuan has gained 10.3% on the dollar.

 

The Chinese currency is going to be the world’s next major currency and it will have a tremendous impact on our way of life and our standard of living.

 

This coming week, I’ll put my thought into writing and share them with you. I know that I’m going to ruffle some feathers. That’s OK – my point is to get you thinking as to what this means to us going forward,

 

I’ll be updating everything on the web site early in the week and will keep you posted if anything changes.  

 

That’s about it. I hope this week will be a quiet one. If you have any questions or comments, just send me an email and I’ll be happy to lend a hand.

 

RA Christy

The Stock Trading Advisor

 

P.S.  Please fee free to forward this to your peers, friends and associates you think would benefit from its contents. They will thank you for it - and so will I!

 

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** CIG ROLLS OUT NEW MANAGED ACCOUNT PLATFORM **

 

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If you have a spam checking program installed on your computer, please be sure to add rac@christyinvestments.com to your "safe list."

 

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R. A. Christy is a professional stock trader, money manager and author. Mr. Christy is the President CEO of Christy Investment Group, Ltd., a registered investment advisory firm. He is also the Managing Partner and Portfolio Manager of Plato Advisors, LLC. At the time of publication, Mr. Christy may from time to time write about stocks in which he, Christy Investment Group Ltd or Plato Advisors LLC has a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made.  Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a specific recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Mr. Christy appreciates your feedback and invites you to send it to rac@christyinvestments.com.  

 

The Stock Trading Advisor

c/o Christy Investment Group

P.O. Box 625

Alpharetta, GA 30009-0625

 

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© Copyright 2007 RA Christy

 

 

 


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